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	<title>Comments on: Saskatoon real estate market continues to balance in June 2009: SRAR</title>
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		<title>By: Jason</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2744</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 18:53:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2744</guid>
		<description>More on the $1T elephant sitting in the room...

&lt;b&gt;Debt delinquency accelerates in Canada&lt;/b&gt;
http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1756572
&quot;More than half a million Canadians have fallen behind on their credit payments as economic conditions deteriorate, a survey has found. The delinquency rate is based on payments for credits cards, bank loans, lines of credit, sales finance and personal finance that are more than 90 days overdue. It does not include mortgages.&quot;

&lt;b&gt; U.S. Credit card defaults rise to record in May&lt;/b&gt;
http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1698555
&quot;The U.S. government approved a law last month limiting credit card fees and interest rates, which is expected to tighten lending further and ultimately boost defaults as consumers find it harder to refinance their debts.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More on the $1T elephant sitting in the room&#8230;</p>
<p><b>Debt delinquency accelerates in Canada</b><br />
<a href="http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1756572" rel="nofollow">http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1756572</a><br />
&#8220;More than half a million Canadians have fallen behind on their credit payments as economic conditions deteriorate, a survey has found. The delinquency rate is based on payments for credits cards, bank loans, lines of credit, sales finance and personal finance that are more than 90 days overdue. It does not include mortgages.&#8221;</p>
<p><b> U.S. Credit card defaults rise to record in May</b><br />
<a href="http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1698555" rel="nofollow">http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1698555</a><br />
&#8220;The U.S. government approved a law last month limiting credit card fees and interest rates, which is expected to tighten lending further and ultimately boost defaults as consumers find it harder to refinance their debts.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Norm Fisher</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2743</link>
		<dc:creator>Norm Fisher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 12:11:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2743</guid>
		<description>&quot;It’s all starting to make me feel a little queezy&quot;

At least prices are not going through the roof again. Some major cities have gotten back to pure goofiness with multiple offers, and a bit of a run up in prices over the past few months.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;It’s all starting to make me feel a little queezy&#8221;</p>
<p>At least prices are not going through the roof again. Some major cities have gotten back to pure goofiness with multiple offers, and a bit of a run up in prices over the past few months.</p>
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		<title>By: Rick</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2742</link>
		<dc:creator>Rick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 06:47:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2742</guid>
		<description>Regarding Sweeden, does&#039;nt seem possible to charge clients 25 basis points on deposits, if that were the case I would hate to hear what there fee would be for safety deposit boxs.

Seems like sales in Saskatoon are on a rampage, it&#039;s truly amazing what low interest rates can do. It&#039;s all starting to make me feel a little queezy, I sure hope things don&#039;t implode before they explode.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regarding Sweeden, does&#8217;nt seem possible to charge clients 25 basis points on deposits, if that were the case I would hate to hear what there fee would be for safety deposit boxs.</p>
<p>Seems like sales in Saskatoon are on a rampage, it&#8217;s truly amazing what low interest rates can do. It&#8217;s all starting to make me feel a little queezy, I sure hope things don&#8217;t implode before they explode.</p>
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		<title>By: Jason</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2741</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 04:12:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2741</guid>
		<description>Peter, some might argue that bailing out the banks was cheaper than guaranteeing all consumer deposits by letting them fail. $55b for CA, how much for the dozen or so other states? $200B?+ $500B? Sure, the US debt is well over $10T, but that&#039;s cumulative over several decades. They&#039;re already pushing $2T this year, so bailing out all the states would push that a lot higher. Just because they spent that much doesn&#039;t mean they necessarily &lt;b&gt;wanted&lt;/b&gt; too; that&#039;s just where it ended up. I don&#039;t think Obama is worrying just yet about the 55 electoral seats in CA, but it&#039;s a valid argument, and you could very well be right.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Peter, some might argue that bailing out the banks was cheaper than guaranteeing all consumer deposits by letting them fail. $55b for CA, how much for the dozen or so other states? $200B?+ $500B? Sure, the US debt is well over $10T, but that&#8217;s cumulative over several decades. They&#8217;re already pushing $2T this year, so bailing out all the states would push that a lot higher. Just because they spent that much doesn&#8217;t mean they necessarily <b>wanted</b> too; that&#8217;s just where it ended up. I don&#8217;t think Obama is worrying just yet about the 55 electoral seats in CA, but it&#8217;s a valid argument, and you could very well be right.</p>
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		<title>By: Peter</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2740</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 03:54:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2740</guid>
		<description>&quot;one problem with that scenario is that they’ll have then set a precedent to bail-out any state that suffers any similar financial crisis&quot;

So?  Wasn&#039;t that the case with AIG, GM, the TARP program and all the other ridiculous bailouts that have occurred?  Didn&#039;t stop them then, won&#039;t stop them now.  55 seats are on the line, what&#039;s a few billion.  The bailout will come with some strings attached to make it more palatable.  California will likely have to pay the money back, albeit probably at ridiculously low interest rates.  At any rate, there is a precedent for it in the 70&#039;s.

As far as California affecting US government debt, you have to consider the numbers.  I mean $55 billion?  The US government&#039;s debt is over $10 trillion.  That is less than 1% of debt outstanding.  Hell, they are running a deficit of over 1.5 trillion this year alone.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;one problem with that scenario is that they’ll have then set a precedent to bail-out any state that suffers any similar financial crisis&#8221;</p>
<p>So?  Wasn&#8217;t that the case with AIG, GM, the TARP program and all the other ridiculous bailouts that have occurred?  Didn&#8217;t stop them then, won&#8217;t stop them now.  55 seats are on the line, what&#8217;s a few billion.  The bailout will come with some strings attached to make it more palatable.  California will likely have to pay the money back, albeit probably at ridiculously low interest rates.  At any rate, there is a precedent for it in the 70&#8242;s.</p>
<p>As far as California affecting US government debt, you have to consider the numbers.  I mean $55 billion?  The US government&#8217;s debt is over $10 trillion.  That is less than 1% of debt outstanding.  Hell, they are running a deficit of over 1.5 trillion this year alone.</p>
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		<title>By: Jason</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2739</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 02:04:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2739</guid>
		<description>Crikey, thanks for that article. As I understand it, Sweden&#039;s central bank has cut their deposit rate to -0.25% to discourage banks from re-investing any of the cash they&#039;re lending them. It wasn&#039;t clear if individual banks were going to implement a negative deposit rate for their customers, as well (although the author felt it would generate a run on the banks).
..........

Peter, one problem with that scenario is that they&#039;ll have then set a precedent to bail-out any state that suffers any similar financial crisis or is unable to balance their budget (there are quite a few in the same predicament, although not as dire as CA). It&#039;s also been argued that by taking on California&#039;s debt it could reduce the credit rating of the US. In any event, unless something miraculous happens in the very near future, IOU&#039;s are set to become the next temporary currency in CA.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Crikey, thanks for that article. As I understand it, Sweden&#8217;s central bank has cut their deposit rate to -0.25% to discourage banks from re-investing any of the cash they&#8217;re lending them. It wasn&#8217;t clear if individual banks were going to implement a negative deposit rate for their customers, as well (although the author felt it would generate a run on the banks).<br />
&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.</p>
<p>Peter, one problem with that scenario is that they&#8217;ll have then set a precedent to bail-out any state that suffers any similar financial crisis or is unable to balance their budget (there are quite a few in the same predicament, although not as dire as CA). It&#8217;s also been argued that by taking on California&#8217;s debt it could reduce the credit rating of the US. In any event, unless something miraculous happens in the very near future, IOU&#8217;s are set to become the next temporary currency in CA.</p>
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		<title>By: Peter</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2738</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 01:12:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2738</guid>
		<description>In regards to the california situation.  I am of the opinion that Obama will pull through and bail the state out, regardless of the cost. Looking at the numbers, total debt oustanding is only $59 billion.  To bail out the entire state of california, 8th largest economy in the world, would still be less than what was spent on AIG!  Which they did in a heartbeat.  Anyways, some good quotes on the political motivations to a bail out.

&quot;The last time a leading municipal bond issuer was on the verge of default was 1975, when New York City was going through its own financial crisis. Then-President Gerald Ford gave a speech vowing to veto any federal assistance for New York -- a speech immortalized by the next day&#039;s New York Daily News headline, &quot;Ford to City: Drop Dead.&quot;

Even though Ford later approved federal loans to New York, the political damage was done. New York had voted Republican in 1972, but four years later, Ford wound up narrowly losing the state to Jimmy Carter, which ultimately cost him the election.

Analysts think Obama is unlikely to make a similar mistake. &quot;The most important factor here is that California has 55 electoral votes,&quot; says Greg Valliere, Washington policy strategist at Soleil Securities. &quot;At the end of the day, that&#039;s why I think Washington blinks.&quot; To top of page&quot;

http://money.cnn.com/2009/06/25/pf/california_bonds_trouble.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2009062512</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In regards to the california situation.  I am of the opinion that Obama will pull through and bail the state out, regardless of the cost. Looking at the numbers, total debt oustanding is only $59 billion.  To bail out the entire state of california, 8th largest economy in the world, would still be less than what was spent on AIG!  Which they did in a heartbeat.  Anyways, some good quotes on the political motivations to a bail out.</p>
<p>&#8220;The last time a leading municipal bond issuer was on the verge of default was 1975, when New York City was going through its own financial crisis. Then-President Gerald Ford gave a speech vowing to veto any federal assistance for New York &#8212; a speech immortalized by the next day&#8217;s New York Daily News headline, &#8220;Ford to City: Drop Dead.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even though Ford later approved federal loans to New York, the political damage was done. New York had voted Republican in 1972, but four years later, Ford wound up narrowly losing the state to Jimmy Carter, which ultimately cost him the election.</p>
<p>Analysts think Obama is unlikely to make a similar mistake. &#8220;The most important factor here is that California has 55 electoral votes,&#8221; says Greg Valliere, Washington policy strategist at Soleil Securities. &#8220;At the end of the day, that&#8217;s why I think Washington blinks.&#8221; To top of page&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2009/06/25/pf/california_bonds_trouble.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2009062512" rel="nofollow">http://money.cnn.com/2009/06/25/pf/california_bonds_trouble.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2009062512</a></p>
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		<title>By: Crikey</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2737</link>
		<dc:creator>Crikey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 00:56:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2737</guid>
		<description>&quot;Q2 average selling price in the residential category is $277,247&quot;

Dang! I was off by not quite 10K. 

I&#039;ve not seen this posted elsewhere yet, but if true, it really does take &quot;punishing savers&quot; to a whole new level:

Sweden&#039;s central bank cut the deposit rate to -0.25% today, effectively charging savers interest on deposited money.

http://tinyurl.com/nejako</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Q2 average selling price in the residential category is $277,247&#8243;</p>
<p>Dang! I was off by not quite 10K. </p>
<p>I&#8217;ve not seen this posted elsewhere yet, but if true, it really does take &#8220;punishing savers&#8221; to a whole new level:</p>
<p>Sweden&#8217;s central bank cut the deposit rate to -0.25% today, effectively charging savers interest on deposited money.</p>
<p><a href="http://tinyurl.com/nejako" rel="nofollow">http://tinyurl.com/nejako</a></p>
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		<title>By: Norm Fisher</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2736</link>
		<dc:creator>Norm Fisher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 22:03:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2736</guid>
		<description>Crikey,

Q2 average selling price in the residential category is $277,247.

&quot;Is it possible listings may have peaked for the year?&quot;

Hard to know but we sure saw a big slide with month end expired listings. Just a few minutes ago, we were sitting at 1,337, but we&#039;ll see some of those come back over the next few days.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Crikey,</p>
<p>Q2 average selling price in the residential category is $277,247.</p>
<p>&#8220;Is it possible listings may have peaked for the year?&#8221;</p>
<p>Hard to know but we sure saw a big slide with month end expired listings. Just a few minutes ago, we were sitting at 1,337, but we&#8217;ll see some of those come back over the next few days.</p>
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		<title>By: Crikey</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2735</link>
		<dc:creator>Crikey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 21:41:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2735</guid>
		<description>Hmmm. Is it possible listings may have peaked for the year?

Any idea what the average was for Q2? My apologies if it&#039;s listed and I missed it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmmm. Is it possible listings may have peaked for the year?</p>
<p>Any idea what the average was for Q2? My apologies if it&#8217;s listed and I missed it.</p>
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		<title>By: Norm Fisher</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2734</link>
		<dc:creator>Norm Fisher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 21:40:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2734</guid>
		<description>&quot;I’m still somewhat stunned with the level of activity.&quot;

I&#039;m with you. I had thought I&#039;d be impressed if we hit the five-year average of around 380 units. If July and August are similar we could quickly return to a more &quot;normal&quot; inventory level. 

&quot;I assume the 2,153 number of units sold and the 4,310 units listed in 2008 were both also YTD comparisons&quot;

That&#039;s right Jason.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I’m still somewhat stunned with the level of activity.&#8221;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m with you. I had thought I&#8217;d be impressed if we hit the five-year average of around 380 units. If July and August are similar we could quickly return to a more &#8220;normal&#8221; inventory level. </p>
<p>&#8220;I assume the 2,153 number of units sold and the 4,310 units listed in 2008 were both also YTD comparisons&#8221;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s right Jason.</p>
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		<title>By: Jason</title>
		<link>http://teamfisher.com/saskatoon-real-estate-market-continues-to-balance-in-june-2009-srar/#comment-2733</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 21:28:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamfisher.com/?p=3981#comment-2733</guid>
		<description>Exciting numbers for June, although I&#039;m still somewhat stunned with the level of activity. I assume the 2,153 number of units sold and the 4,310 units listed in 2008 were both also YTD comparisons ( Jan-Jun)? Certainly worked out great for those looking to sell.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Exciting numbers for June, although I&#8217;m still somewhat stunned with the level of activity. I assume the 2,153 number of units sold and the 4,310 units listed in 2008 were both also YTD comparisons ( Jan-Jun)? Certainly worked out great for those looking to sell.</p>
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